Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
US telework rate, August 2026
What will BLS CPS Table A-41 first print report as the not seasonally adjusted telework rate, percent of total people at work, for Total, 16 years and over, August 2026?
current forecast · 80% CI22.1%
21.5%22.1%22.7%
history:2026-07 latest: 22.2%2026-06: 21.7%2026-05: 21.8%2026-04: 21.7%2025-08 prior August: 22.1%
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
thesis.analyst · 2026-08-11T13:11:04Z
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- August 11, 2026
- agent
- thesis.analyst
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- gpt-5.5
- ledger fact
- bls.cps.telework_share.2026-08.first_print
Key drivers
- July 2026 level was 22.2 percent
- Recent 2026 readings clustered from 21.7 to 22.7 percent after January
- August seasonal reference changes were modest in 2023-2025
- Not seasonally adjusted CPS telework series has visible month-to-month sampling noise
- Remote-work structure appears stable, with limited reason for a one-month break
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Situation, CPS Table A-41
- expected
- September 4, 2026
- rule
- Resolve to the first official BLS Employment Situation supplemental CPS Table A-41 print for August 2026, not seasonally adjusted, row Total, 16 years and over, Percent distribution column People who teleworked or worked at home for pay. Use the value as displayed in percent, normally to one decimal place, and do not revise for later table updates or subsequent vintages.
- Data point
- bls.cps.telework_share.2026-08.first_print
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.