Introduced in Senate · Cruz · read twice and referred to the Committee on Finance on March 27, 2025

Facilitating Lower Atmospheric Released Emissions Act (FLARE Act; S. 1188)

Bill text ↗analyzed 2026-07-31
Conditional forecasts
The analysis found 2 candidate outcome metricsfor this bill; none maps to an admitted series in the docket registry yet, so no enacted-vs-baseline pair can be preregistered. When a metric's series is admitted and a pair is registered through the privileged path, both arms — enacted and baseline — appear here; only the arm whose registered condition is satisfied is scored publicly.

Registered context series — forecast regardless of this bill

These series are tracked because the bill made them worth watching. They are not resolutions of any bill metric; each entry states what the series is not.

U.S. natural gas vented and flared (2025 annual value)

Admitted to the docket — the first registered forecast arrives with the next roll.

Broad U.S. natural-gas venting-and-flaring outcome and timing-tracking context only. Not facility-level activity, compliance, enforcement, fees, or emissions reductions under S. 1188; no annual value or change is attributed to or treated as caused by the FLARE Act.

Provisions

Section 2 — Permanent full expensing for flaring and venting mitigation systems

§2: 100 percent first-year expensing for defined mitigation property, with a foreign-entity exclusion

Section 2 would add a paragraph (11) to Internal Revenue Code §168(k). On the face of the introduced text, qualifying property must be a flaring and venting mitigation system that intakes natural gas and separates, collects, uses, or combusts methane and heavier hydrocarbons through one of seven listed pathways: compression or liquefaction for fuel or processing, petrochemicals or fertilizer, liquid fuels, electricity, computational power, digital-asset mining, or other oilfield equipment. The proposed paragraph sets the applicable percentage at 100 percent, disregards the then-existing placed-in-service sunset for qualified property, excludes property placed in service by a foreign entity of concern, and applies after December 31, 2025. Public Law 119-21 subsequently removed that sunset and the paragraphs governing the percentage phase-down and older-property transition, while generally making §168(k) expensing 100 percent and permanent for qualified property acquired after January 19, 2025. Because S. 1188 still directs that former paragraph (8) not apply and makes a conforming amendment to former paragraph (6)(A), this extraction does not treat its historical intended benefit as a definite incremental current-law change.

Quoted from the bill ▸
“the applicable percentage shall be 100 percent”; a flaring and venting mitigation system “intakes natural gas” and “separates, collects, utilizes, or combusts methane and heavier hydrocarbons”; “This paragraph shall not apply to any property placed in service by any foreign entity of concern”; and the amendments “shall apply to property placed in service after December 31, 2025.”

Countersignable goals

Create a permanent 100 percent additional first-year depreciation allowance for qualifying flaring and venting mitigation property placed in service after 2025.
Encourage systems that intake natural gas to separate, collect, use, or combust methane and heavier hydrocarbons through the enumerated pathways rather than leave the gas to conventional flaring or venting.
Withhold the proposed special expensing paragraph from property placed in service by a foreign entity of concern.

Likely effects — shown regardless of the goals

Accelerated cost recovery in the introduced-law frame

Against the version of §168(k) addressed by the introduced bill, a 100 percent applicable percentage without the cited sunset or transition rule would make an additional first-year deduction for qualifying basis available unless the taxpayer elected out for the property class. That primarily changes tax timing and present value; it does not necessarily produce an equal permanent reduction in lifetime tax liability.

Broad end-use eligibility

The definition covers gas compression, liquefaction, fuels, chemicals, fertilizer, electricity, computational power, digital-asset mining, and other oilfield equipment. It does not require a particular technology, minimum captured volume, incremental investment, or measured emissions result.

Investment and commissioning response

A more valuable first-year deduction can lower the present-value after-tax cost of qualifying equipment and may induce investment or move acquisition and commissioning dates. The bill provides no behavioral estimate, and the later general 100 percent deduction makes the proposal's remaining incremental incentive unclear.

Gas-disposition and emissions ambiguity

Qualifying systems may reduce reported venting or conventional flaring if they divert gas to another use, but combustion is itself expressly eligible. The bill does not condition the deduction on gas that demonstrably would otherwise be flared or vented, avoided methane, net greenhouse-gas reductions, or displacement of other energy use.

Foreign-entity eligibility boundary

The proposed paragraph would not apply to property placed in service by a foreign entity of concern. The text creates no dedicated certification or reporting mechanism and does not explain how the exclusion interacts with any independently available depreciation treatment.

Implementation barriers

Congressional drafters and the Department of the Treasury

The bill's amendatory instructions target §168(k)(2)(A)(iii), paragraph (6)(A), and paragraph (8), but Public Law 119-21 later struck those provisions. A technical update and current-law consolidation would be needed before the proposal's distinct operative and revenue effects could be stated confidently.

Internal Revenue Service and the Department of the Treasury

Administration would require rules or guidance for system boundaries, mixed-use assets, qualifying basis, the listed utilization pathways, placed-in-service timing, and foreign-entity-of-concern status. The bill sets no rulemaking deadline, information-reporting requirement, or public compliance table.

Taxpayers

Claimants would need to substantiate ordinary qualified-property requirements as well as natural-gas intake, a listed disposition pathway, placed-in-service timing, allocable basis, and eligibility under the foreign-entity exclusion. The text does not specify documentation for gas provenance, counterfactual flaring or venting, or mixed systems.

Public evaluators

Form 4562 and IRS Statistics of Income depreciation tables aggregate broader deductions and industries rather than identifying the proposed property class. EIA's vented-and-flared series is observable, but production levels, prices, regulation, State reporting, and other investments can move it independently of this tax provision.

Candidate outcome metrics

Unmapped1 serves · 2 orthogonalAggregate flaring-and-venting outcome

U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Natural Gas Vented and Flared: annual U.S. volume in million cubic feet, resolved from the fixed annual release for a preregistered calendar year. This is a recurring official downstream series, but it combines venting and flaring, does not identify bill-eligible systems or utilization pathways, and moves with production, prices, regulation, and State reporting, so it cannot by itself attribute a change to S. 1188.

Unmapped3 orthogonalHonest tax-uptake and eligibility gap

No recurring public IRS or Treasury series isolates the count, depreciable basis, first-year deduction, taxpayer type, enumerated end use, gas volume, or foreign-entity-of-concern denials for property under proposed §168(k)(11). Without a dedicated return code or administrative table, uptake, fiscal cost, and compliance with the exclusion are not mechanically forecastable.

Conditional forecast sketches

P(EIA annual U.S. Natural Gas Vented and Flared volume for calendar year y | S. 1188, or successor text preserving §2's targeted property rule, is enacted by date d and produces an operative special expensing rule for qualifying property placed in service after 2025 versus no such targeted rule), with d, y, and the first-print annual release preregistered. Interpret this only as an outcome forecast: the aggregate series cannot identify tax claims or causally estimate the provision's effect.